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March 13, 2006

Crozet plans cross 12,000 population threshold

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There is a Crozet rezoning request before the Board of Supervisors this week (Liberty Hall) that has an interesting status report, prepared by staff, which shows that the currently approved and proposed housing in the Crozet development pipeline, if all built, would likely take Crozet beyond a population of 12,000 people.  While nobody can predict accurately the speed with which those homes will be built and occupied, it is news that County staff are bringing this to the attention of the Board.  On paper, the twenty-year Crozet Master Plan approved in December 2004 has crossed the threshold of a population of 12,000 people.

Crozetwesternridge

What happens next?  Many residents of Crozet have asked the County to adhere to the master plan's goal of 12,000 people.  The County will continue to receive additional development proposals.

  • Should rezonings stop entirely while we wait and see how fast things get built? 
  • Should rezonings only be approved that bring needed infrastructure to Crozet? 
  • Should additional rezonings be approved with the idea that it will take many years for the houses to be built and occupied, that not all units applied for will be built, and thus we can afford to pad the pipeline? 
  • If additional developments are approved should they now be steered towards the lower end of the plan's allowed density ranges?
  • Is the ultimate goal a community with 12,000, 24,000, or some other number of people? 
  • How does that long range goal inform our choices as a community today? 
  • Are we getting proffers that help bring all the necessary elements of a quality community?

These are but a few questions I think the community wants to see discussed.  I have reproduced the table of data below.  [Read all weblog postings on development in Crozet]

Brian Wheeler

Development in Community of Crozet as of 3/7/2006

Number of Existing Dwelling units as of 6/05, estimated by GDS* [i.e. number of residences in Crozet before additions below]

1,451 units

Number of By-Right Dwelling Units/Lots Approved (FINAL SUB & Final SDP) 2004 & 2005 - No CO's** as of 6/05

SUB 04-136

Ballard Field

63

SDP 05-17

Ballard Field Townhouses

79

SUB 04-102

Upper Ballard Field

43

SUB 05-113

Westhall I & II (SF)

49

TOTAL

234 units

Number of Units/Lots on Approved PRELIMINARY Plats and Site Plans

SUB 04-288

Old Trail Creekside

24

SUB 05-259

Old Trail Creekside II - Phase I

96

SUB 05-229

Clayton

21

SUB 05-146

Westhall Phase III

9

SUB 04-134

West End at Western Ridge

17

SDP 05-90

Westhall Phase IV

36

TOTAL

167 units

Number of Units-Rezonings approved in Crozet since Master Plan Adoption

ZMA 04-24

Old Trail Village

2,275

ZMA 04-17

Wickham Pond

107
TOTAL
2,382 units

Number of Units-Rezonings Under Review

ZMA 05-05

Liberty Hall

53

ZMA 05-07

Haden Place

40

ZMA 05-18

Wickham Pond II

127

ZMA 06-01

Westhall Phase V

38

ZMA 02-05

Foothill Crossing -- indefinitely deferred

600
TOTAL
858 units
From Liberty Hall staff report for 3/15/06 BOS Meeting: "Some members of the public who spoke have raised concerns about the rate at which Crozet is growing. Staff provided the table below to the Commission and public after their request for a “status report” on approved developments and developments under review in Crozet. From this table, if Old Trail is built out to its maximum approved units, and all rezonings under review are approved and built out to their maximum approved units, in addition to the by-right development, the number of dwelling units would result in a population that would likely exceed 12,000 (2.4 persons per unit x number of dwelling units). However, the table does not attempt to project the rate at which growth will occur, nor can it predict whether the approved developments will build out to their maximum allowed development potential."
*GDS=Albemarle Co. Geographic Data Services
**CO = Certificate of Occupancy

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